Why Are You So Confident?
Justified confidence requires strong argument
Department
Philosophy.
Wisdom, ethics, and first principles.
Lately on the shelf
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Don’t fill out the consultation form yet--it’s unclear what the best alternative stunning method is
You Can’t Abolish The Profit Motive
Ambition can be redirected, never eliminated
The Shock Doctrine in Reverse
The techlords lost, thanks to grassroots organizing. But what now?
Talking With Daniel Munoz (IN PERSON!)
A recording from Bentham's Bulldog's live video
Broadtermism
Longtermism for space
Evolutionary ethics and how we treat strangers
Are we born or taught to be fair?
Longtermism For Animals
Making the far future go well for animals should be the top priority of the animal rights movement
For More Than Three Decades, Qatar Has Flourished by Playing All Sides
A strategy of means, not ends
The Scariest Recent AI Development
AGI might be imminent
The Unfinished Drama of Two Histories
On Muslim Migration and the Long Revolt Against Jerusalem, or, Notes Toward a History of Western Dissolution
I missed my period but I’m still hot, right?
A short reflection
Dario Amodei’s Contemptible Critics
These people are *figuratively* Ayn Rand villains
Suggested Readings
A few recommendations by Figs in Winter for your reading pleasure
I’m too ugly to post on social media
For what were you born?
Taking Torture Seriously
Obvious and worldview upending
The Wokest Theodicy Ever
...
Time in Heaven
Would there be ordinary temporal succession? If I saw you in heaven?
Do we need to take reincarnation seriously? – Part II
How to honestly update Buddhism, Stoicism, and other philosophies of life
Yet More Flying Notes From Egypt
The Confessions of a Very Reasonable Man
The Vindication of Normal Politics
SLOW BORING HAS BEEN VINDICATED AT THE BALLOT BOX
Extreme Vegan Claims Aren’t Hyperbole
They are true
Sand Gods, Foom, and p(doom) (with Séb Krier)
Why Séb Krier is very AGI-pilled but rejects many popular narratives about the AI revolution, from godlike superintelligence to explosive self-improvement.
Do we need to take reincarnation seriously? – Part I
Buddhism, Stoicism, and the limits of philosophical reinterpretation
AI Consciousness Debate: Michael Huemer vs. Simon Goldstein
Might near-term AI be conscious?
A Midterm Motivator
A brand new short video to help power our US friends through the final push—and thoughts on what it will take to beat back end times fascism for good
Does Christianity Make Sense?
Reviewing Gavin Ortlund’s book. Or, more precisely, using the excuse of reviewing Gavin Ortlund’s book to provide a comprehensive deep dive into the all the main arguments for Christianity.
Don’t doubt that we can actually scare the tech billionaires
Watch now (37 mins) | My conversation with David Sirota on the Lever with an exclusive premiere of the trailer for End Times Fascism
Separating the art from the artist
Podcast with Robert Wright
Intelligence and Attention
New paper on Husserl, Illich, Hugh of St. Victor, Plato, and more.