Vol. II · No. 318
Established 2025

smallweb

Saturday, November 14, 2026
174 writers in the library
Economics · 1 shelves
Economics

Noahpinion.

Economics and other interesting stuff.

Recent essays

30 of 110

Brad and Noah discuss the reindustrialization of America

The 65th episode of Hexapodia.

India is quietly doing great

The world’s biggest country continues to defy the skeptics.

Noah Smith and Azeem Azhar discuss the AI boom

A bonus podcast!

Noah, Brad DeLong, and Dan Wang discuss the Anthropic IPO

The Hexapodia Podcast is back!

Why I’m becoming a China bear

The country was perfectly positioned to win in a world that no longer exists.

For the Democrats, now comes the hard part

The Dems have to figure out what they stand for, and what they want to do.

Normal Americans punished MAGA

Normies exist, and there’s only so far you can push them before they get mad.

Anthropic’s moat is Claude

The bull case for Anthropic’s IPO.

Farewell, my Captain

A TV character gave us a glimpse of what humanity might become.

A golden age of science is coming

AI can do things humans researchers can’t, even in groups.

Roundup #90: In which Noah joins a Japanese VC firm

The humanities; Data center crowd-out; Chinese local governments; AI and capitalism; How Japan builds; Phones bad; Chinese manufacturing; Rent control

The internet breaks

What will be next to break?

France and the limits of liberalism

Immigration, the welfare state, and Keynesian economics are all showing signs of strain.

“You Can See Everything” and the nature of liars

A movie review, plus some thoughts on dishonesty, belief, and human communication.

Can a Million AI Agents Create Superintelligence?

Ramez Naam gives a skeptic’s take on agent swarms.

Why are we ruled by barbarians?

America’s New Right believes that savagery is the key to victory.

AI vs. the railroads

Are we in 1872?

A Nobel for New Keynesian macro, at last!

It’s about time.

Why Donald Trump won in 2024

Re-upping my election post-mortem, so that we don’t forget.

Maybe the Rapture is already here

In the future, we’re all heavenbanned.

There is no “Indian Question”

The actual question is what kind of a nation America is going to be.

What the AI boom is doing for Americans

It’s not just “of, by and for oligarchs”.

The second Trump presidency is a world-historic failure

How did Trump fumble so badly?

Roundup #89: It isn’t X, it’s Y

AI risk; Reindustrialization; The rent crisis; AI and jobs; Mass deportation; Chinese investment; Cyber risk

Stop spending money on smaller classes

We’ve spent decades raising teacher quantity when we should have been raising quality.

Where’s the “intelligence explosion”?

Ramez Naam gives a skeptic’s take on Recursive Self-Improvement.

Four eras of San Francisco tech culture

An anthropological reflection.

No, you are not on Indigenous land

A repost from 2024.

The problem(s) with utilitarianism

Our favorite moral philosophy is about to come under increasing strain.

How we can beat China

The trick is to let them beat themselves.